Job market softens as tale of two regions emerges

Job market softens as tale of two regions emerges

Unemployment across the Hunter region continues to rise, with fewer employers advertising roles and a softening labour market reflected across New South Wales and Australia.

The latest February Labour Force figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show a growing divide between Newcastle and Lake Macquarie, and the broader Hunter Valley region, which includes the Upper Hunter, MidCoast, Cessnock, Maitland and Port Stephens.

Unemployment in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie edged up slightly from 3.7 to 3.8 per cent in February, still sitting below the state average of 4 per cent. However, the jobless rate in the Hunter Valley climbed more sharply from 4.0 to 4.6 per cent.

Participation rates also told two different stories. Newcastle and Lake Macquarie saw a boost, with 2,600 more people entering the workforce last month. In contrast, the Hunter Valley saw a drop of 2,700 people who either left the workforce or stopped actively looking for work. This divergence continues a trend seen since late 2024.

Barriers to participation

Business Hunter CEO Bob Hawes said the falling participation rate in the Hunter Valley reflects broader challenges.

“We’re really looking at issues which can’t be resolved quickly in order to unlock the barriers we see in the labour market,” Mr Hawes said.

“Access to suitable housing, limited transport options, and a mismatch between job requirements and applicant experience are contributing to the decline.”

He said a number of local initiatives are underway to address these barriers. “Workforce Australia is holding a Careers Day in Muswellbrook on 3 April, and other events such as a Jobs Connect day in Cessnock are also planned.”

Mixed signs in employment data

Despite the softening market, full-time employment in the region grew by 2,700 jobs in February, driven largely by the higher participation in Newcastle and Lake Macquarie. Part-time employment remained steady.

Job ad numbers continued to fall across the Hunter, dropping to 4,448 in February from 4,618 in January, according to the Jobs and Skills Australia Internet Vacancy Index. While still above pre-COVID levels, this is around 1,000 fewer ads than in February 2024, suggesting a continued cooling of employer demand.

Youth unemployment rises, but still below pre-COVID highs

The youth unemployment rate (ages 15 to 24) rose to 5.6 per cent in February from 4.2 per cent in January. However, the number of unemployed young people remains comparatively low at 4,100 – well down from 7,700 in February 2020, when youth unemployment was in double digits.

“Young job seekers with the right qualifications and training will be enjoying a fairly buoyant market,” Mr Hawes said.

“Initiatives in the federal budget such as fee-free TAFE and subsidies for apprentices in priority sectors will help keep that momentum going.”

IMAGE | Chief Executive Officer, Bob Hawes

Business Hunter

Business Hunter is the new name for the organisation formerly known as the Hunter Business Chamber. We are the largest regional peak business group in Australia, representing members across all business and industry sectors. Business Hunter is a not-for-profit member organisation dedicated to connecting people in business with what they need to succeed.

We have been the voice of business in the Hunter since 1886. Our members are part of a network of more than 2,500 businesses across the region. That network includes members of 20 aligned local chambers across 10 local government areas, stretching from the Mid North Coast to Lake Macquarie and inland to Scone. From main-street retailers to ASX 100 corporates, our member businesses power Australia's strongest regional economy. 

The name Business Hunter was adopted in February 2020 to better reflect the vibrant and diverse businesses the organisation represents. The new name also aligns with our affiliates Business NSW and Business Australia.

Business Hunter has been through a number of name changes; what has never changed is our commitment to helping our members do business better, to drive growth and prosperity in the Hunter region.

Trending Articles

Advertise with us

Affordable and engaging advertising to a business community

Submit an article

Tell your story to the Hunter business community

Does your human-resources business need a little help with its marketing?

Marketing strategies

This website uses cookies
We use cookies to personalise content and ads, to provide social media features and to analyse our traffic. We also share information about your use of our site with our social media, advertising and analytics partners who may combine it with other information that you’ve provided to them or that they’ve collected from your use of their services.